愛爾蘭 經濟衰退的可能性 Covid-19 Coronavirus: possibility of recession amid uncertainty

經濟和社會研究所（ESRI）警告說，長期爆發冠狀病毒可能會使愛爾蘭共和國經濟陷入衰退。

這個研究所稱，如果該國長期處於封鎖狀態，經濟可能會自金融危機以來首次出現萎縮。

研究所的基蘭·麥昆（Kieran McQuinn）表示，如果可以將疫情控制在一個季度內，並且“如果到6月/ 7月情況恢復正常，那麼愛爾蘭今年的經濟仍將錄得正增長”。

他說，但是，如果“封鎖”超出了這一個時期，“我們認為今年的增長率為零甚至為負”。

A prolonged outbreak of coronavirus in the Republic could push the economy into recession, the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) has warned.

The think tank said the economy could shrink for the first time since the financial crisis if the country remained on lockdown for an extended period.

The institute’s Kieran McQuinn said that if the outbreak can be contained to a single quarter and “if by June/July things are returning to normal then the Irish economy should still register positive growth this year”.

However, if the issue and particularly the “lockdown” goes beyond that period “we’re looking at zero or even negative growth for the year”, he said.

Details & credit https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/coronavirus-ireland-faces-possibility-of-recession-amid-uncertainty-1.4202625