Hong Kong Girl in Ireland

愛爾蘭 Covid-19 醫療資源問題 COVID-19 Statement from intensive care doctors

Signs at the entrance to Cork University Hospital , Image credit https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/coronavirus-five-new-cases-confirmed-in-the-republic-of-ireland-1.4195050?mode=amp

愛爾蘭醫院的重症監護醫生發表的聲明強調了他們預計在未來幾週可能要做出的艱難的分流決策。

即年輕患者存活機會大, 會優先救治, 年長或病患存活機會小, 可能要作出沉重決定, 未能優先救治。

ICU資源如下:

整個愛爾蘭共和國600萬人口. 只有237 *重症監護(ICU)(2016數據)

There are only 237* Intensive Care Units (ICU) in the whole of the Republic of Ireland for a population of 6M, and your scientists predict than anything between 20% to 80% of the Irish population will catch the virus, now assuming the best-case scenario: if 20% of 6M Irish population does get the virus this equals to 1.2M people infected, of this 1.2M people if only 2% dies we are talking about 2,400 people, but Italy has a mortality rate of >5%, so your numbers would go up to 6,000 deaths. (source: https://www.change.org/p/together-to-fight-coronavirus-in-ireland?recruiter=46887217&recruited_by_id=847b4f10-835e-0130-994c-38ac6f16d25f&share_bandit_exp=message-20745638-en-GB&share_bandit_var=v2)

*census data from 2016 https://www.hse.ie/eng/services/publications/clinical-strategy-and-programmes/critical-care-capacity-and-workforce-census-2016.pdf